Insights & Outlook

Real-time economic trackers, live market feeds, and actuarial longevity insights.

๐Ÿ“ˆ 10-Year Treasury Yield

4.39% +0.05% MoM

The benchmark for global long-term debt pricing and long-term business loans. A rising yield indicates expectations of sticky inflation or robust growth.

๐Ÿ  30-Year Fixed Mortgage

6.40% -0.20% MoM

The primary driver of U.S. residential consumer housing affordability. Highly correlated with the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity rate.

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Fed Funds Target Rate

3.56% Target Midpoint

The overnight borrowing rate set by the Federal Reserve. Used actively by central bankers to curb inflation or stimulate commercial lending.

2.0%

Real GDP Growth

Annualized rate of economic production growth, adjusted for inflation. Reflects a steady, non-inflationary expansion pace.

2.5%

Core CPI Inflation

Annualized rate of price changes excluding volatile food and energy. Nearing the Federal Reserve's long-term target of 2.0%.

4.3%

Unemployment Rate

The percentage of the labor force actively seeking employment. Reflects a highly balanced, stable labor market.

U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Trends (10-Yr vs 2-Yr)

CBO Macroeconomic Projections (Annual Averages)

Official consensus economic forecasts published by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO).

Economic Indicator 2023 (a) 2024 (a) 2025 (a) 2026 (f) 2027 (f)
Real GDP Growth (annualized % change) 2.9% 2.8% 2.1% 2.0% 2.4%
CPI-U Inflation Rate (% change YoY) 4.1% 3.0% 2.7% 2.5% 2.2%
Core PCE Deflator (% change YoY) 4.2% 2.9% 2.8% 2.3% 2.1%
Unemployment Rate (annual average) 3.6% 4.0% 4.3% 4.3% 4.2%
10-Year Treasury Yield (annual average) 3.96% 4.21% 4.29% 4.39% 4.45%
Federal Funds Rate (annual average) 5.07% 5.19% 4.25% 3.56% 3.38%
a = actual | f = CBO forecast. All figures are based on the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) Economic Projections and FOMC Summary of Economic Projections (SEP).
Market index quotes are updated every 60 seconds. U.S. macroeconomic indicators are synced in real-time from Federal Reserve databases. Last Synced: Loading...